{"id":536,"date":"2022-11-25T19:51:44","date_gmt":"2022-11-25T16:51:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/?p=536"},"modified":"2022-11-25T19:51:44","modified_gmt":"2022-11-25T16:51:44","slug":"ikinci-el-piyasasinda-araba-fiyatlari-nasil-degisti-otoendeks-analizi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/?p=536","title":{"rendered":"\u0130kinci El Piyasas\u0131nda Araba Fiyatlar\u0131 Nas\u0131l De\u011fi\u015fti, Otoendeks Analizi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Acaba son y\u0131llarda ikinci el ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131 nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015ftir. Ka\u00e7 ay \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsam bir ara\u00e7 sahibi olabilirim, ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki durumu nedir?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Otoendeks<\/a> olarak, her ay ikinci el otomobil fiyat endeksi ilan edilmektedir. \u0130kinci el otomobil fiyat endeksi, her ay ikinci el araba piyasas\u0131ndaki fiyat art\u0131\u015f ve azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 raporlamak maksad\u0131yla hesaplanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Toplam sat\u0131\u015f adetlerine g\u00f6re a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ortalama al\u0131narak son ay\u0131n ara\u00e7 sat\u0131\u015f fiyatlar\u0131 hesaplan\u0131r. Sonras\u0131nda bir \u00f6nceki aya g\u00f6re fiyattaki art\u0131\u015f\/azal\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 bulunur. Bulunan bu art\u0131\u015f\/azal\u0131\u015f oran\u0131 son ay\u0131n ikinci el otomobil fiyat endeks de\u011ferine uygulanarak yeni ay\u0131n ikinci el otomobil fiyat endeksi bulunur. B\u00f6ylelikle ikinci el araba piyasas\u0131ndaki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimini belirli bir markaya ve modele ba\u011fl\u0131 kalmaks\u0131z\u0131n fikir sahibi olma ve takip etme imkan\u0131 elde edilmi\u015f oluyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

01.01.2018 tarihi itibariyle endeks 100 puandan ba\u015flamaktad\u0131r. Daha sonra ortalama fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimi oran\u0131na g\u00f6re 100 puan artt\u0131r\u0131larak ya da azalt\u0131larak ilgili aydaki Otoendeks<\/a> hesaplanmaktad\u0131r. B\u00f6ylece her ay ortalama ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131 belirlenmi\u015f olur, yani 100 puan de\u011ferindeki bir arac\u0131n ayl\u0131k fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimi piyasa \u015fartlar\u0131 dikkate al\u0131narak tespit edilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu yaz\u0131m\u0131zda 01.01.2018 tarihinde piyasa de\u011feri 100.000 TL olan bir arac\u0131n bug\u00fcne kadar uzanan seyrini inceleyece\u011fiz. Otoendeks<\/a> kullan\u0131larak 100.000 TL de\u011ferindeki arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n piyasadaki fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimi belirlenecektir. Arac\u0131n Ocak 2018\u2019den g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze fiyat de\u011fi\u015fimi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte turuncu \u00e7izgiyle g\u00f6steriliyor. May\u0131s 2020\u2019ye kadar ara\u00e7 fiyat\u0131n\u0131n stabil bir bi\u00e7imde artmakta oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Nisan 2020-Kas\u0131m 2020 aras\u0131nda fiyattaki art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseliyor. Bunun pandemi d\u00f6neminde s\u0131f\u0131r ara\u00e7 arz\u0131nda olu\u015fan daralma nedeniyle oldu\u011funu biliyoruz. Kas\u0131m 2020 – Ekim 2021 aras\u0131ndaki d\u00f6nemde art\u0131\u015f h\u0131z\u0131 yava\u015flasa da bu d\u00f6nemden sonra Aral\u0131k 2021\u2019e kadar endeks h\u0131z artmaktad\u0131r. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na bakacak olursak y\u0131l\u0131n ilk 4 ay\u0131 endekste ciddi bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik olmuyor. Ancak may\u0131s ay\u0131yla birlikte endeks art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zlan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Grafi\u011fe genel olarak bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda y\u0131l\u0131n ilk aylar\u0131nca ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131 fazla de\u011fi\u015fmiyor. Baharla birlikte ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. E\u011fer \u00e7ok s\u0131k ara\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015ftiriyorsan\u0131z ara\u00e7 almak i\u00e7in en iyi d\u00f6nemin nisan-may\u0131s aylar\u0131 oldu\u011fu, satmak i\u00e7in ise en iyi d\u00f6nemin y\u0131lsonu oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Ocak 2018\u2019deki 100.000 TL\u2019nin Zamana G\u00f6re De\u011fi\u015fimi<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Grafikte ayr\u0131ca dolar kuru, alt\u0131n ve enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda arabam\u0131z de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015f m\u0131d\u0131r sorusun cevab\u0131 da mevcut, grafikte sar\u0131 renkli \u00e7izgiler 2018 ba\u015f\u0131nda ara\u00e7 i\u00e7in ay\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z 100.000 TL ile alt\u0131n al\u0131nsayd\u0131 \u015fimdi ka\u00e7 TL olurdu sorusunun cevab\u0131n\u0131 veriyor. Ye\u015fil renkli \u00e7izgi 100.000 TL ile al\u0131nan dolar\u0131n \u015fimdi ka\u00e7 TL oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermekte, kesikli \u00e7izgiler ise bu paran\u0131n enflasyonla birlikte art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. E\u011fer Ocak 2018 de ara\u00e7 almak yerine bu parayla alt\u0131n al\u0131nsayd\u0131 bug\u00fcn itibar\u0131yla param\u0131z 614.000 TL, dolar al\u0131nsayd\u0131 491.000 TL olacakt\u0131. Arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n de\u011feri ge\u00e7en bu s\u00fcre i\u00e7inde 526.000 TL oldu, arac\u0131m\u0131z dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kazanm\u0131\u015f, ancak alt\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fer kaybetmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ocak 2018\u2019deki 100.000 TL nin enflasyon oran\u0131nda nemaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 ele al\u0131ns\u0131n. Yukar\u0131daki grafikte kesikli \u00e7izgiler Ocak 2018\u2019deki 100.000 TL\u2019nin enflasyon kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6stermektedir. T\u00fcfe\u2019deki oran dikkate al\u0131n\u0131nca 100.000 TL\u2019nin bug\u00fcnk\u00fc de\u011feri 331.000 TL olmakta, \u00dcfe\u2019de bu tutar 635.000 TL olmaktad\u0131r. \u0130kinci el otomobil fiyat endeksindeki de\u011fi\u015fimin \u00dcfe\u2019ye daha yak\u0131n oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. Grafikten de anla\u015f\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere ikinci el otomobil fiyat endeksinin Dolar kuru ve \u00dcfe\u2019deki de\u011fi\u015fimle benzerlik g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Grafik biraz daha incelenecek olursa dolar ve alt\u0131n kurundaki ani de\u011fi\u015fikliklerin ara\u00e7 fiyat\u0131na hemen yans\u0131mad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. E\u011fer cebimizde d\u00f6viz varsa kurlardaki ani y\u00fckseli\u015fler bize karl\u0131 bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 verirken ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fler ise sat\u0131\u015fta kar f\u0131rsat\u0131 veriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bu tespitimizi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte daha net bir bi\u00e7imde g\u00f6rebiliyoruz. Kurun ani y\u00fckseldi\u011fi A\u011fustos 2018 de arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 16.000 dolar veya 425 gram alt\u0131na alabiliyorken, ani d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc Ocak 2021\u2019de 31.000 dolar veya 550 gram alt\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na satabiliyoruz. S\u0131f\u0131r ara\u00e7lar\u0131n fiyatlamas\u0131 g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00f6viz kurlar\u0131yla hesaplanmaktad\u0131r bu nedenle s\u0131f\u0131r ara\u00e7 al\u0131mlar\u0131nda d\u00f6viz cinsinden bir f\u0131rsat vermemektedir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikten arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n de\u011ferinin d\u00f6nem i\u00e7inde 380 gr ile 620 gr alt\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 olarak de\u011fi\u015fti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u0130kinci El Otomobil Fiyat Endeksinin Gram Alt\u0131n ve Dolar Kuru Cinsinden De\u011feri<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

Ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n kur ve enflasyon verilerine g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fimini g\u00f6rd\u00fck peki al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan durum nedir. Ocak 2018\u2019den g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcze acaba ara\u00e7 al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcm\u00fcz nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fti. Bunun i\u00e7in inceledi\u011fimiz d\u00f6nemdeki memur maa\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131k. Peki ka\u00e7 maa\u015fla arac\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 sat\u0131n alabiliyoruz? Cevab\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki grafikte bulunuyor. Bu grafikte d\u00f6rt meslek sahibi de memur olduklar\u0131 i\u00e7in maa\u015flar\u0131 ayn\u0131 oranda art\u0131yor, bu nedenle grafiklerin de\u011fi\u015fim formlar\u0131 ayn\u0131d\u0131r. Bu grafikte ara\u00e7 al\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in en ucuz d\u00f6nemin Ocak-Ekim 2019 d\u00f6neminde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Profes\u00f6r olarak bu d\u00f6nemde 12 maa\u015fla ara\u00e7 sat\u0131n al\u0131nabiliyorken, \u00f6\u011fretmen maa\u015f\u0131yla bu ara\u00e7 i\u00e7in 27 ay \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 gerekiyor. 2020\u2019nin sonlar\u0131nda ise ayn\u0131 arac\u0131 almak i\u00e7in daha uzun s\u00fcre \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak laz\u0131m. Profes\u00f6r\u00fcm\u00fcz bu d\u00f6nemde ara\u00e7 almak i\u00e7in 20 ayl\u0131k maa\u015f\u0131m\u0131, \u00f6\u011fretmenimizin ise 47 ayl\u0131k maa\u015f\u0131n\u0131 harcamas\u0131 gerekiyor. Ekim 2021\u2019e kadar al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcnde ciddi bir de\u011fi\u015fim olmuyor, ancak y\u0131l sonuna kadar trajik bir \u015fekilde al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ara\u00e7 almak i\u00e7in 62 \u00f6\u011fretmen maa\u015f\u0131 veya 27 profes\u00f6r maa\u015f\u0131 gerekiyor. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131na bakacak olursak Ocak ve temmuz aylar\u0131nda maa\u015f zamlar\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fc y\u00fckseliyor, ancak bir sonraki ayda al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn tekrar sert bir bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki genel tirendin al\u0131m g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn azalmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\u00c7e\u015fitli Meslek Gruplar\u0131n\u0131n Ara\u00e7 Al\u0131m G\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn Zamana G\u00f6re De\u011fi\u015fimi<\/mark><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Acaba son y\u0131llarda ikinci el ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131 nas\u0131l de\u011fi\u015fmi\u015ftir. Ka\u00e7 ay \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsam bir ara\u00e7 sahibi olabilirim, ara\u00e7 fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131m ara\u00e7lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki durumu nedir? Otoendeks olarak, her ay ikinci el otomobil fiyat endeksi ilan edilmektedir. \u0130kinci el otomobil fiyat endeksi, her ay ikinci el araba piyasas\u0131ndaki fiyat art\u0131\u015f ve azal\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 raporlamak maksad\u0131yla hesaplanmaktad\u0131r. Toplam sat\u0131\u015f adetlerine […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[5,6,11,47,12,13,4],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=536"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":541,"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/536\/revisions\/541"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=536"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=536"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/otoendeks.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=536"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}